Osasuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
1 - 2
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
OSA
60%
20%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
8 - 1
DEP
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
3 - 3
OVI
54%
21%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
SPO
8 - 2
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
MUR
1 - 2
CEL
64%
18%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
RUN
9 - 1
MUR
68%
16%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
MUR
4 - 1
ATM
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
MUR
1 - 3
OVI
53%
20%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |