Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-7
Osasuna vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 0
GIR
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 3
GIR
85%
10%
6%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 2
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SSC
0 - 0
OSA
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
MUR
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
MUR
0 - 4
RMA
27%
22%
51%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |