Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 10-2
Osasuna vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
VAD
2 - 3
OSA
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1984 |
OSA
4 - 0
SEV
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
FCB
2 - 0
OSA
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1984 |
NUM
1 - 3
OSA
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
OSA
0 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ATL
0 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
28%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
NUM
2 - 2
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
SAB
2 - 0
NUM
57%
24%
20%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1984 |
NUM
1 - 3
OSA
21%
28%
51%
|
26 | 76 | 50 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
NUM
3 - 1
SDA
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |