Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Osasuna vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 3
GIR
85%
10%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 2
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
10%
7%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SSC
0 - 0
OSA
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 3
GIR
85%
10%
6%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 2
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAS
0 - 2
GIR
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 1
ECG
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
GIR
3 - 1
CON
76%
14%
10%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |