Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Osasuna vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 2
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SSC
0 - 0
OSA
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 1
RSO
73%
14%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 2
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAS
0 - 2
GIR
46%
22%
32%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
GIR
1 - 1
ECG
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
GIR
3 - 1
CON
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SAB
2 - 3
GIR
70%
16%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |