Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-0
Osasuna vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.4%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.8%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
12%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 2
ALG
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 0
OSA
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
GER
0 - 1
OSA
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 0
ELC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
DEP
4 - 1
OSA
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
GER
0 - 0
PEÑ
69%
21%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GER
2 - 1
AUR
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
GER
0 - 1
OSA
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
48%
28%
24%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GER
1 - 0
BAS
52%
26%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |