Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-2
Osasuna vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
RMA
1 - 0
OSA
85%
10%
4%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
OSA
0 - 2
ATH
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
EIB
1 - 2
OSA
25%
29%
46%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
ESP
0 - 1
OSA
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
EIB
3 - 0
CDG
80%
13%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
BAS
1 - 1
EIB
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
EIB
1 - 2
OSA
25%
29%
46%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
EIB
2 - 0
BKE
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
CDM
1 - 1
EIB
35%
30%
35%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |