Osasuna vs Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SEV
3 - 1
OSA
60%
20%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
8 - 1
DEP
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
OSA
3 - 3
OVI
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
SPO
8 - 2
OSA
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
OSA
1 - 2
RUN
42%
22%
36%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
SPO
6 - 1
CAS
79%
13%
9%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 0
RUN
30%
21%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
DEP
4 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 4
ATM
46%
22%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 3
MUR
51%
22%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |