Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Osasuna vs Txantrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.4%
Win probability
4.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.8%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5.4%
6-0
7.1%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.4%
5-0
10.2%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.8%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
3.9%
1.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
OSA
5 - 0
GRA
73%
17%
9%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 0
OSA
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ALG
1 - 0
OSA
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 2
VAD
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
RAC
3 - 0
OSA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Txantrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
TUD
1 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 0
OSA
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CHA
3 - 2
NAV
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
RAY
1 - 1
CHA
61%
23%
15%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CHA
3 - 2
GIM
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |