Osasuna vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
13º
11º
9
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 91 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 90 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 77 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 72 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 65 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 60 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 56 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 53 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 51 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 43 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 42 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 41 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 38 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
15% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 30 |
20º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
GIR
4 - 0
OSA
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 0
MLL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
1 - 1
LEG
61%
23%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 1
OSA
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
OSA
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
CEL
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
VCF
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
ALA
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WHU
2 - 2
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LUT
1 - 3
CEL
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |