Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-0
Osasuna vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
OSA
0 - 0
SAB
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
OSA
3 - 1
ATH
47%
29%
25%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 0
CEL
89%
8%
3%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1987 |
ZAR
0 - 0
CEL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
RSO
3 - 2
CEL
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
CEL
2 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |