Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Osasuna vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.1%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
+6
7.6%
5-0
9.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
12.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
5.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.1%
1.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
CDT
4 - 1
OSA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
OSA
2 - 1
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALA
0 - 0
OSA
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
OSA
6 - 2
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
82%
12%
5%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
TAL
2 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GUA
2 - 1
LEG
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ALC
1 - 0
GUA
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
GUA
1 - 2
COL
59%
27%
15%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
CIE
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |