Osasuna vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
OSA
1 - 0
CDU
92%
6%
3%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
CDG
1 - 1
OSA
28%
21%
52%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
OSA
3 - 5
MAE
90%
7%
4%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
ALA
1 - 0
OSA
28%
21%
51%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
OSA
6 - 2
TOL
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
CFP
0 - 0
BUR
44%
21%
36%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
BUR
0 - 0
RAC
28%
21%
52%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1948 |
AVI
3 - 1
BUR
43%
21%
36%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1948 |
BUR
4 - 0
RJU
87%
8%
5%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 1
BUR
46%
21%
34%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |