Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-3
Osasuna vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
OSA
1 - 0
UES
52%
27%
22%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
RAY
2 - 0
OSA
67%
20%
12%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 2
OSA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
OSA
1 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
PUE
2 - 2
OSA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 1
ATH
53%
26%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
PON
1 - 0
BAS
63%
24%
12%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 2
OSA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 0
LEM
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAS
48%
31%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |