Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Osasuna vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
CDT
1 - 0
OSA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
BAR
1 - 0
OSA
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
OSA
0 - 1
VIL
54%
27%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
EIB
1 - 1
OSA
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
OSA
1 - 0
LEV
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 0
AMU
75%
18%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
BAR
1 - 0
OSA
23%
27%
50%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
ZAR
2 - 1
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
BAR
0 - 1
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
ELC
4 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |