Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 7-1
Osasuna vs Atlético Marbella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATM
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
SEV
0 - 0
OSA
57%
25%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1992 |
AMA
0 - 3
OSA
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
OSA
3 - 0
CEL
61%
25%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
RAY
1 - 0
OSA
39%
30%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Marbella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
EIB
0 - 1
AMA
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
AMA
1 - 1
LLE
32%
31%
37%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1992 |
AMA
0 - 3
OSA
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
MER
3 - 0
AMA
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |