Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Osasuna vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
OSA
4 - 2
DEP
70%
15%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SAB
0 - 1
OSA
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
OSA
3 - 0
SLA
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 2
OSA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
OSA
2 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATH
2 - 3
ESP
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ELC
4 - 1
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ATH
1 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
30%
24%
45%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |