Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-2
Osasuna vs AD Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 0
DEP
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
1 - 0
OSA
63%
24%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SAB
2 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AD Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 1
VAD
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
RMC
4 - 3
ALM
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
CFC
2 - 3
ALM
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAD
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALM
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |