Osasuna vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
8.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
6 - 2
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
GIR
0 - 2
OSA
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
CON
2 - 2
OSA
44%
23%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
OSA
7 - 0
LEV
58%
20%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
LEV
45%
22%
33%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
SAB
1 - 1
FER
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
FER
2 - 1
CON
54%
21%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1941 |
FER
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1941 |
ALA
3 - 0
FER
76%
14%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |