Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Osasuna Promesas vs At. Malagueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 2
PEÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAV
0 - 1
OSA
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 1
UDM
53%
23%
23%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
OSA
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
OSA
1 - 0
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
At. Malagueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAL
28%
26%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
AME
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CDE
2 - 3
MAL
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALH
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
MAL
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |