Osaka vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
OSA
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 3
SON
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 2
OSA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OSA
2 - 0
REA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OSA
2 - 2
HON
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
HON
2 - 0
HON
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
HON
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
HON
1 - 0
MIO
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAR
2 - 2
HON
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HON
1 - 2
YOK
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |