Os Limianos vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Os Limianos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
BOA
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
OSL
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
0 - 0
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TIR
1 - 1
OSL
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OSL
4 - 0
AMO
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 1
TOU
76%
17%
8%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BUS
0 - 2
TOU
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
3 - 3
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
ORI
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |