OS Fives vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
86%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.2%
0-4
9.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.9%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.8%
0-6
3%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.8%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OS Fives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
OSF
1 - 1
EIN
46%
22%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 0
LYO
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
DUN
5%
10%
85%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
USB
1 - 1
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 3
ROD
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |