Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
9º
57
3º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
3 - 4
ORV
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORV
3 - 1
OST
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ORV
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
ORV
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
PRO
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
USP
2 - 1
SPO
70%
19%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
USP
3 - 0
PIA
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GRO
1 - 2
USP
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USP
3 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |