Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
17º
8º
1
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SDT
0 - 1
ORV
38%
26%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORV
3 - 1
OST
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
ORV
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ORV
1 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
ORV
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
GGV
83%
11%
6%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |