Orvietana Calcio vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
61.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
9º
55
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 1
ORV
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ORV
0 - 0
USP
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
3 - 4
ORV
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ORV
3 - 1
OST
26%
23%
52%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ORV
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
USP
4 - 4
GAV
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 1
GAV
53%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GAV
0 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GAV
1 - 3
ARZ
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
GAV
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |