Orvietana Calcio vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
9º
40
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
SPO
13%
18%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
4 - 1
ORV
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USP
2 - 2
ORV
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 3
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 1
USP
24%
28%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ACS
50%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PIA
2 - 1
ACS
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |