Orvietana Calcio vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
9º
40
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
SPO
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
4 - 1
ORV
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
PIA
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
USP
2 - 2
ORV
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 3
ASD
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 1
USP
24%
28%
48%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ACS
50%
24%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PIA
2 - 1
ACS
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 3
ARZ
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |