Orvietana Calcio vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GHI
3 - 2
ORV
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ORV
0 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
0 - 0
ORV
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORV
2 - 0
ATT
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PIA
1 - 2
ARZ
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 4
FIO
6%
17%
78%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OST
3 - 0
ARZ
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARZ
12%
20%
69%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |