Orvietana Calcio vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
18º
9º
69
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 3
ORV
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
0 - 1
ORV
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ORV
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -9 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ORV
0 - 0
PIE
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ARZ
7 - 3
ORV
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ASL
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 1
ARZ
58%
21%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 2
GAV
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FLA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARZ
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |