Orsomarso SC vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
QUI
3 - 2
ORS
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ORS
0 - 0
TFC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
ORS
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ORS
1 - 1
AME
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ORS
1 - 3
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |