Orsomarso SC vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
16º
8º
11
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
47.5% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
ORS
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
QUI
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
BJC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
LEO
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 2
LEO
20%
23%
56%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |