Orsomarso SC vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
16º
10º
18
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
ORS
45%
29%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
AFC
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
QUI
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 1
UNI
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
BJC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
LEO
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 2
LEO
20%
23%
56%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |