Orsomarso SC vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
16º
10º
13
7º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
0 - 1
QUI
41%
29%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 0
ORS
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ORS
2 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
RSC
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HUI
2 - 1
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
REA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 0
AFC
77%
17%
6%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
BOG
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |