FK Orsha vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ORS
2 - 0
FCS
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ORS
2 - 2
ZOR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LID
0 - 1
ORS
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
DMI
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GOM
1 - 1
ORS
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GOM
5 - 0
FKA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 3
NAF
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
FKA
28%
28%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
FCS
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 2
DNM
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |