ORPa vs Tervarit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ORPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
VIF
2 - 1
ORP
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KER
3 - 1
ORP
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ORP
1 - 0
KPV
48%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tervarit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
KPV
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
TER
0 - 2
GBK
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIF
1 - 0
TER
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
TER
5 - 0
JBK
18%
23%
58%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +21 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
FCK
3 - 1
TER
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |