Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-6
Orotava vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
RAF
1 - 0
UDO
33%
29%
38%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
UDO
0 - 2
VEC
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
COR
3 - 0
UDO
31%
30%
39%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
UDO
4 - 0
GUI
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
UNI
2 - 1
UDO
21%
29%
50%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
REA
2 - 2
LAN
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
REA
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
REA
2 - 3
LLA
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
TEL
2 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
REA
2 - 0
SDT
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |