Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-1
Orotava vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orotava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
UDO
4 - 0
COR
70%
18%
11%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
FER
1 - 2
UDO
33%
30%
37%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
UDO
4 - 1
ARG
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
VEC
2 - 0
UDO
34%
31%
34%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
UDO
3 - 1
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
RAF
3 - 2
CDM
25%
30%
45%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
CDM
5 - 0
LPA
43%
28%
29%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
TEL
2 - 0
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
CDM
3 - 0
LLA
74%
18%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
UDI
0 - 3
CDM
27%
30%
42%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |