Aral Nukus vs Unired analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
17
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
PAK
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
SHO
10%
19%
71%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
GIJ
1 - 0
ORO
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unired
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
URF
0 - 0
BUN
6%
12%
83%
|
17 | 66 | 49 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
URF
0 - 4
FKL
10%
19%
71%
|
17 | 67 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
URF
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
URF
0 - 3
NEF
3%
13%
84%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
URF
2 - 1
PFK
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |