Aral Nukus vs Kokand 1912 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
5º
30
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
ORO
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
DOS
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
URF
1 - 1
ORO
14%
16%
70%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ORO
1 - 0
MAS
14%
21%
65%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 1
ORO
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Kokand 1912
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
BUX
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 0
QOQ
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
QOQ
1 - 2
QIZ
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
QOQ
1 - 1
MAS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
GIJ
1 - 8
QOQ
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |