Aral Nukus vs Kokand 1912 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
68.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
37
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
URF
89%
7%
4%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
PAK
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SOG
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
SHO
10%
19%
71%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Kokand 1912
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
QOQ
5 - 2
GIJ
77%
15%
7%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
TER
4 - 0
QOQ
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DSA
3 - 3
QOQ
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
QOQ
0 - 0
XOR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
MAS
3 - 2
QOQ
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |