Aral Nukus vs Olympic II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+1091%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
5º
15
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 73% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 0
ORO
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
DOS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 1
PAK
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olympic II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 1
MAS
20%
24%
56%
|
21 | 59 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
2 - 1
FKO
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 1
XOR
14%
20%
66%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 2
XOR
10%
15%
76%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
FKO
79%
13%
7%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | +1 |