Aral Nukus vs FK Lokomotiv Tashkent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
45
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
12%
20%
69%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
URF
89%
7%
4%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
6 - 1
FKA
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 21 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLM
2 - 1
FKL
51%
22%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 19 | 46 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DSA
3 - 1
FKL
27%
24%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
URF
0 - 4
FKL
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |