Aral Nukus vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
12%
20%
69%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DSA
0 - 0
FKL
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
4 - 3
FKO
30%
22%
48%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
DSA
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 1
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
MAS
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |