Aral Nukus vs Dinamo Samarqand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
10º
6º
41
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 2
NAV
10%
19%
70%
|
31 | 66 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ORO
23%
19%
58%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
3 - 0
PFK
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
12%
20%
69%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
DSA
0 - 0
FKL
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
4 - 3
FKO
30%
22%
48%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
DSA
15%
22%
64%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 1
PFK
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
MAS
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |