Aral Nukus vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
7º
5º
42
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 95% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
99% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SHO
4 - 0
ORO
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 1
FKO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 0
ORO
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
DOS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
BUX
0 - 1
MAS
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
BUX
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BUX
3 - 1
XOR
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 1
BUX
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 2
BUX
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |