Ørn Horten vs Viking FK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
48%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
12º
12º
28
1º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 1
ORN
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 2
KVI
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
ORN
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 0
NOT
34%
23%
43%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 0
ORN
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Viking FK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KVI
4 - 1
VIK
20%
21%
60%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 0
SSK
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 1
VIK
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 3
HOD
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
VIK
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |