Ørn Horten vs Vålerenga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
7º
31
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EGE
6 - 0
ORN
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 1
KJE
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
ORN
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 2
AAL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ORN
2 - 1
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vålerenga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYN
17%
20%
64%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
FKA
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
4 - 1
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
VAR
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -3 |