Ørn Horten vs Stromsgodset IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ORN
1 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
0 - 4
ORN
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
ORN
2 - 1
KJE
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ORN
2 - 0
JER
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ORN
4 - 1
SFO
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
STR
2 - 0
BOG
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
VIF
3 - 0
STR
26%
24%
51%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
STR
2 - 1
ODD
68%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
DRA
2 - 10
STR
6%
13%
81%
|
82 | 20 | 62 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SOG
1 - 3
STR
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |