Ørn Horten vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
13º
41
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 50 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 34 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FFC
0 - 0
ORN
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
ORN
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ORN
3 - 2
ETO
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
VIK
4 - 0
ORN
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ORN
3 - 2
HOD
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LYS
0 - 1
HOD
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
VIK
5 - 1
LYS
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LYS
4 - 3
BRA
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SSK
1 - 2
LYS
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 3
KFU
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |