Ørn Horten vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
12º
12º
34
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
2 - 0
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ORN
0 - 3
MJO
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JER
1 - 0
ORN
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 2
ORN
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 3
BRA
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIK
36%
22%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
VIK
37%
21%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LYS
5 - 3
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
STR
55%
20%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |