Orléans vs FC Rouen 1899 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
3º
25
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 57 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 50 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 44 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 43 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 27 |
17º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
29.5% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
ORL
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ORL
1 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
ORL
2 - 1
AUB
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 0
ORL
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ORL
3 - 1
GOB
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rouen 1899
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
FCR
0 - 1
AUB
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GOB
1 - 0
FCR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCR
2 - 2
LMU
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 1
LIL
13%
23%
65%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 0
QUE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |