Orléans U19 vs Montfermeil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
11º
5º
17
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 53 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 43 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 40 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 38 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 32 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 30 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orléans U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLM
5 - 1
ORL
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ORL
5 - 0
DKQ
53%
21%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
4 - 0
ORL
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 5
ORL
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 0
LIL
18%
20%
62%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Montfermeil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
MON
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
VAL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PSG
2 - 0
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
HAV
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |